Coronavirus indicators trending down, not enough to reopen

The city’s seen a sharp decline in coronavirus hospitalizations and the rate of people testing positive for the disease, but not enough to reopen the city for at least a few months, Mayor Bill de Blasio said Friday.

“We still cannot say with assurance that we’re out of the woods,” de Blasio said during his daily coronavirus press briefing.

“Reopening … obviously is a few months away at a minimum,” the mayor said later during an appearance on WNYC radio.

The daily number of people admitted to hospitals for suspected COVID-19 peaked on March 31 at 850 cases. By April 11 it was down to 383 and Friday it was at 136.

“That’s the good news, real progress,” de Blasio said.

The rate of New Yorkers testing positive for the virus also plummeted from 58 percent on April 11 to 23 percent Friday. “That’s fantastic. A very, very hopeful sign,” de Blasio said.

Less promising is the amount of patients in the ICUs of the city’s 11 public hospitals. That figure has ticked down just slightly from its peak of 887 on April 14 to 704 Friday.

“This causes real pause,” de Blasio said.

As does the 2,637 new confirmed coronavirus cases in the city Thursday and the 202 additional deaths, the mayor added..

The data, “Says that if you open up too soon you could pretty much guarantee a resurgence of the disease,” de Blasio said. 

Daily indicators are also a mixed bag.

Hospital admissions for suspected COVID-19 cases went up from 129 to 136 Wednesday, the number of patients in public ICUs dipped down from 705 to 704, and the percent of people testing positive for the virus increased from 22 percent to 23 percent, de Blasio said.

“Not the overall progress that we need to see,” the mayor cautioned.

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